How can you predict, far in advance, if businesses will succeed or fail? I’ve spent my career asking this question.  As a data scientist and venture capitalist, it’s my white

Business is complicated. Sometimes businesses do everything right, but still flop. Other times they seem to do everything wrong, but succeed anyway. Predicting if new businesses will survive or fail

I have mixed feelings about the new Star Wars movie this year.  I’m going to see it – that was decided 37 years ago – I’m just not sure if

Innovators are no strangers to criticism and skepticism. After all, everything is impossible right up until the very moment the first person does it. So for all you innovators out

People like algorithms… sometimes. As humans, we’re okay with algorithms doing math, running electronics or machinery. Yet people can get very uncomfortable (or even furious) when algorithms dare to cross

I’m a data scientist who has spent nearly a decade trudging through quantitative data about what predicts the success or failure of innovations. Yes, really. I’ve done this because I genuinely care about

Newborn wildebeest in Africa have better odds of survival than corporate innovations. Corporate innovations are often encouraged, funded and grown one year, only to be frustrated, de-funded and shutdown by

Last week I hopped into a cab at SFO and headed downtown. I told the driver my hotel’s name and street, then he nodded and we were on our way